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Latest Views & News

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith bearcast: why am I wrong to feel so bearish about everything in the UK?

I worry that we are all doomed and everyone is in denial. Tell me why I am wrong
Professor

Visual Aid: The World’s Most Expensive Real Estate Markets

In this graphic, we explore the world’s most expensive real estate markets, using data as of December 2024. The rankings are based on the average price per square meter for a prime 100–200 m² (1,075-2,150 sq. ft) apartment, sourced from New World Wealth and Henley & Partners.

Professor
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Sunday Long Reads: Borstal Boys, Stolen Adoptees, Barf Bags, Hitler’s Angel, Wusband

Sunday is a good time to sit back, read, and forget about shares. Put the kettle on, find a comfy chair. You have the time, don't you?
Quiz
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The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #295

It's time for the ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz. There are no prizes!  Remember, no Googling!

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending May 24

The most-read, non-Tom article at 5 or 13, including Bearcasts, is by Nigel Somerville with The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Correction Grinds On.

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: CEO's who threaten shareholders

Specifically I am discussing Optbiotix (OPTI) and Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI).
TERN
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Tern - Device Authority 2024 accounts out and are awful

The statutory accounts for Device Authority for the year to 31 December 2024 have been filed at Companies House. As Device continues to file accounts as a small company there is no profit and loss account nor are the results of its US subsidiary consolidated, just the investment in subsidiaries at cost of £6,386,629, so you can’t get a full understanding of Device’s performance. BUT...
Bear
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Podcast:Tom Winnifrith and Barry Downes on the sectors AI will destroy

One for the bears, some big calls from Barry
THS
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Tharisa – interims suggest shares remain a recovery Buy

Tharisa (THS) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st March 2025 emphasising it “continuing its track record of generating profits… despite unprecedented global macro uncertainty” and, with the shares responding slightly up to 63p in response, how does its performance compare to a £187.3 million market cap?
Price-Vs-Value
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Readers tips to end-2025 prize contest No 2: Easter Version – first month update

The start-of-year ShareProphets readers tips for 2025 prize competition was followed a few months later by Donald Trump market upset, so it was why not another readers prize (Greek Hovel olive oil) contest too. The following is the first month update (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, one Buy and one Sell pick from the London Stock Exchange Main Market or AIM casino and they not then having had a shares suspension/cancellation announcement). And the early leader is...

SRAD
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Stelrad – what do trading “in line with management expectations” and “Appointment of Joint Corporate Broker” suggest here?…

Describing itself as “a leading specialist manufacturer and distributor of steel panel and design radiators in the UK, Europe and Turkey”, Stelrad Group (SRAD) has now followed an “AGM Trading Update” with an “Appointment of Joint Corporate Broker” and what of the shares having currently responded up to 144p, to give a £183.4 market capitalisation?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 3: Failure, deception, madness, PLC costs and boardroom expenses and AI driven shorts

I have recorded a podcast with Barry Downes about sectors/stocks to short because of AI and discuss it en passant, it should go live this weekend. Then it is Christopher Eggleton falling on his sword at Minoan (MIN) and questions I have, Optibiotix (OPTI) The Smarter Web Company (SWC) and Totally (TLY). Now to go dig up weeds to compost and think about AIM CEOs.
CGNI
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Cardiogeni: £120m up in smoke in less than 4 months, First Sentinel disgraces itself (again)

I warned that this IPO on January 31 at 143p was a £125 million disaster in waiting. Advisors First Sentinel would act for Satan’s bastard love child with Julie Meyer and this was drowning in red flags from the getgo as I pointed out HERE. After a £650,000 placing at 17.3p a share yesterday the shares are now just 6p, valuing this crock at £5 million. £120 million nominal value up in smoke in less than four months, well done First Sentinel. You are scumbags.
TLY
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Totally Fecked, another story of AIM incompetence & Zak Mir

Totally (TLY) shares are down 75% today at just 0.35p as it has admitted that its shares are almost certainly worthless. How many times have I told y’all. This explains why Zak Mir is so popular and I am so hated.
Bitcoin

Video: Mega Returns – Profiting from Maximum Pessimism

Writer David Skarica's latest book “Mega Returns: Profit from Maximum Pessimism,” highlights key themes such as the end of asset price inflation driven by excessive debt and government spending. His starting point is an exploration of how COVID-19 and the 2008 financial crisis fueled a period of unprecedented debt, leading to inflated asset prices across sectors.
Sinking_Ship
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AIM Market Statistics for April 2025 - yet another month of decline at the Casino

In April with 3 new admissions but 7 cancellations, the market shrank by a net 4 companies down to 658 companies. MHA the accountancy firm listed at £275.3 million and raised £104.8 million which by current AIM standards was a big win. One of the other new admissions was Switch Metals which dropped down from the Main Market and was valued at just £2 million. AIM already has enough sub scale mining companies.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 2: Steve O'Hara is a liar, I am not selling Optibiotix but I cannot honestly advise you to hold

If the Optibiotix (OPTI) boss or his wanker of a chairman wish to sue me go ahead, I have contemporaneous notes and will see you in Court bitchez! I will also be seeing you at the AGM where I will hold you to account.. I explain the three reasons why why I am not selling my shares after today's discounted placing and, I think, misleading press release. But I also explain why I cannot in all good conscience, advise you to hold any more. It must be your call from here.
UJO
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The AIM peasants are revolting No 2: Union Jack Oil & Gas

Perhaps change is afoot. My anger at the incompetence, greed and, frankly, dishonesty of too many AIM and Small Cap boards is, it seems, far from unique. The peasants are stirring and may be revolting. Second up is Union Jack Oil & Gas (UJO) where the two key directors, both in their seventies, trouser a combined £475,000 but with expenses and employers NI almost certainly cost the company £600,000 or more and yet own just over 2% of the equity.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No1, the £94m madness of The Smarter Web company, think back to Mark Slater's Internet Indirect

I cast no blame on my friend Mark but look back 25 years ago to what happened then and to the latest utter madness at the Smarter Web Company (SWC) - - update, having said it wanted £3 million, smarter has raised £7 million so £13 million cash plays a £94 million market cap. This is madness..
KEFI
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The AIM peasants are revolting No 1: Kefi

Perhaps change is afoot. My anger at the incompetence, greed and, frankly, dishonesty of too many AIM and Small Cap boards is, it seems, far from unique. The peasants are stirring and may be revolting. First up is Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI)where folks on the Telegram Group say that have 5% of the equity prepared to call an EGM.
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That Was the Week that Was

Monday »

ICON

Iconic Labs, the world has gone mad!

 

TERN

My Tern for a victory lap

Thursday »

HAYD

Haydale – US disaster……Oh Dear!

Wednesday »

Gold

As Gold Battles $3,300, What For The Miners?

 

BOOM

Evil’s Rule: Audioboom

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